Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?

Exchange: Kalshi
Status: Open
Leading outcome: No 100%
Volume: $2.2M
24h volume: $647K
Close date: Feb 1, 2027

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

All prediction events

Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?

Exchange: Kalshi
Status: Open
Leading outcome: No 100%
Volume: $2.2M
24h volume: $647K
Close date: Feb 1, 2027

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

All prediction events